“You said that the occupations of women became
varied and ceased to be domestic in a majority
of cases; what effect did that have on marriage
and divorce?” I enquired.
“Various causes tended to make marriage almost
universal and celibacy became the rare exception.
The chief cause was the assumption by
the state of the care and education of the children.
Another was the ability of women to support themselves.
Men did not feel it such a burden to be
married when they did not have to greatly exert
themselves for the support of either wife or children.
Women did not feel it such a burden when
they were released from the care and responsibility
of a household of children and servants. Marriage
moreover has become less of a lottery than in your
day, because men and women meet each other in
business relations in which they act their natural
selves. Neither is obliged to marry in order to
live, and less art and deceit are used for the purpose
of entrapping a partner. The property of
neither man nor woman is affected by marriage,
and neither acquires any rights over the property
of the other except, that each is bound to care and
provide for the other in case of sickness or disability.
There are fewer conditions that are liable to
produce inharmony, because greater freedom is
conceded to the parties, and there are fewer points
on which absolute unanimity is essential. Marriage
is on the whole much happier than formerly, and
although divorces are easily obtained they are much
less frequent. These conditions have had a marked
effect on the increase of population as you might
suppose. There is no longer any temptation to
avoid the natural results of marriage, and those
unnatural expedients women formerly resorted to
for that purpose, ruinous to health and morals, are
now almost unknown. The health and strength of
women have vastly improved. Women dress sensibly,
and live natural hygienic lives, and the terrors
of childbearing have practically vanished. As
Americans took upon themselves the furnishing of
native born citizens to people this country, immigration
from Europe fell off rapidly and practically
ceased sixty years ago. But notwithstanding
this, the population has more than doubled three
times, and for the territory that formed the United
States in your day it is now over 600,000,000.”
“Six hundred millions!” I repeated. “What an
enormous number! It takes my breath to think
of it. Is it possible so many people can be supported
in that territory? Nearly all the really
valuable land seemed to be taken up when the
population was but 70,000,000.”
“Aye,” said he, “six hundred millions are easily
supported, and supported in greater comfort than
when the population was but 70,000,000; and they
may even double several times more before the
capacity of the country is exhausted.”
“I am amazed at what you say,” said I, “but
there must be a limit. Let me see, if 600,000,000
are doubled three times it will amount to 4,800,000,000.
Is it possible the land could produce food
and clothing for so many; and yet from what you
say about the rate of increase that enormous number
of people will be in this country before the end
of the twenty-first century.”
“We will not cross that bridge till we come to
it,” he answered, “we will explain that when we
come to look forward into the twenty-first century.
It is true we shall find a limit. The breeding instinct
of any race of animals, not excepting
man, would if unchecked and unopposed in the
course of time absolutely fill up the earth
till it could support no more. Man has for many
ages been the dominant animal of the earth. Yet
he has failed to stock the world to its capacity
or anywhere near it for reasons you can easily
supply yourself. In the first place the profession
of arms or the art of keeping down the population
by war has always held the most honorable
rank among human employments; second the human
race has been the absolutely helpless victim
of pestilence and plague. Hundreds of different
kinds of microbes, vibrios, bacteria and zymases
have from age to age apparently whenever they
saw fit, or thought men were getting too numerous,
unseen and unsuspected, planted their colonies
in their vital organs, and swarmed in their blood,
living at their expense and sweeping them to death
by myriads and millions. Next, men were at the
mercy of the elements both on sea and land. Whenever
a crop failed from drought or flood there
followed a famine, and millions were periodically
swept away by gaunt starvation, because there was
no way of conveying to a needy district, the superabundance
that might exist in another. But even
where all nature was favorable, and nations happened
to be at peace there was always the native
and hereditary stupidity of the individual that
blinded him to all rational ways of taking care of
himself or his dependents and made it impossible
for him to rear to maturity more than one out of
five of his children. Thus many causes conspired
to kill people off almost as fast as they were born
and sometimes faster, and many times to prevent
them from being born when they ought to have
been. These inimical causes have all practically
been eliminated. The destructive agencies supplied
by nature for limiting the increase of the population
having been set at defiance by art, it is evident
that art must likewise find a way for limiting
the increase of population, or else sometime in
the future that increase will by its very success
put a stop to itself, and the brutal methods of untamed
nature again assert themselves. After all,
art is only a subdivision of nature. It may modify
the action of nature as to details, but cannot
set aside the principles that govern it.”
“You spoke a little while ago of the territory
of the United States, as it was in my day. This
would appear to intimate that the boundaries have
changed since then, is that so?”
“Well yes, you will think so, when you know
that the United States of the present day covers
the entire Continent of North America, and embraces
besides, New Zealand, Australia, the English
Colonies in South Africa, Ireland, Cuba and
most of the West India Islands, and numerous
islands in the Pacific ocean. I see this astonishes
you and I will proceed to tell you how it happened.
If we begin at the beginning, it appears to
have been very largely due to the construction of
railroads in Asia by the Russians; that is it, would
never have happened if these roads had not been
built. The great transcontinental Siberian road
was completed from St. Petersburg to Vladivostock
on the Pacific ocean in 1904 and formally
opened with a great flourish by the Russian emperor.
The Russians were not entirely satisfied
however with this road. It was essential as a military
road, and as a means of settling a vast extent
of fertile country in Siberia, but as a commercial
line it did not meet their rather sanguine
expectations.
“Their ambition was to monopolize the trade between
China and Europe. The new road by going
around the east side of Mantchooria instead of
through it to Pekin, imposed on that trade an unnecessary
transportation of 1800 miles. They
saw directly that they needed a line to Pekin
and Teentsin, from Irkutsk. They obtained a concession
from the Chinese government and built
this line for commercial purposes. Then, later,
they found it desirable to build another line west
of the first and reaching the ocean at Shanghai.
They also tapped the western part of the Chinese
empire by a line from Bokara.
“From these lines others soon grew, commanding
the business of the country and mostly owned
by the Russians. In no long time jealousy of the
enterprising “foreign devils” on the part of some
of the more conservative and reactionary of the
Chinese, led to outrages on their part which furnished
a good pretext for military occupation of
the country and finally to its conquest and annexation
by the Russians. These encroachments of the
Russians had been bitterly, but ineffectually opposed
by the English. Their opposition provoked
the Russians to place England on the defensive
with regard to her Indian possessions so they
pushed their railway line through Tartary to the
very borders of northwestern India and threatened
it with a large army of invasion. The Hindoos
who had for years been waiting for such an opportunity
to throw off the British yoke now revolted.
They had been taught the art of war by
their masters and now practiced it upon them,
turning upon their teachers the weapons they had
put into their hands and taught them to use. The
very soldiers that were counted on to repel the
Russians took their side against the English. Between
the Russians and the Indians the British
power in India was totally crushed, and several
independent kingdoms were set up under Russian
protection. France also assisted Russia in this
war, especially on the ocean. British commerce
was almost destroyed by Russian and French
cruisers. After the war was over these two nations
almost monopolized the Indian trade under
discriminating commerce regulations, the Russians
by land carriage over their railway and the French
by sea. In the end the Russians became masters
of almost the whole of Asia. Turkey was dismembered,
the city of Constantinople and all
Asiatic Turkey falling to the Russians.”
“Professor, in my day there was a great war
between Russia and Japan, which you have not
mentioned. Was it not a factor in the settlement
of the Asiatic questions?”
“No, it did not assist in making a settlement,
for none was made, its only effect was to postpone
a settlement. The events I have narrated were
greatly to the advantage of the United States.
The destruction of England’s commerce largely involved
her manufacturers also, and in like degree
made room for and stimulated those of the United
States. Her trade with all the British Colonies
soon eclipsed that of the mother country herself.
As the tremendous natural resources of the United
States became more and more developed under the
energy and skill of the most enlightened methods,
the contrast between America and England enforced
itself on the attention of all.
“Treaties looking to the abolition of war, and
the settlement of all international questions by
arbitration had already been adopted between the
United States and Great Britain and her Colonies,
and there had been a strong feeling and
agitation for a closer political union of all the English
speaking people. The aggressive foreign policy
of England stood in the way of this. But to
her, this aggressive policy appeared essential. She
had held India, Birmah and large territories in
Africa, by conquest, and her trade to these countries
depended on her continued military control
over them.
“After the war with Russia and France in which
she lost India, her commerce, and her prestige,
England still felt her only chance for retaining her
importance as an influential factor in the politics
of the world, to be in cultivating her interests in
Birmah and Africa. She could colonize neither
of these countries to any great extent. All she
could do was to conquer and rule them and compel
them to trade with her on terms that turned
all their surplus wealth into her coffers—as she
had done in India. Her misfortunes had soured
her temper and made her more truculent and bulldozing
than ever. Her manner towards her colonies
changed. They had been of little or no assistance
to her in her struggle with Russia, and
had but little sympathy with her foreign policy
and the truculent and aggressive bearing towards
weaker nations that had made her to be thoroughly
unpopular in some parts of the world. England
now began to resent the cold attitude of the colonies
toward her, and to talk of the duty of the
daughters towards the mother. She began to be
sorely pinched for money. The war had doubled
her already enormous debt, and halved her resources.
The number of her unemployed at home
had greatly increased by reason of the diminution
of her trade and the foreign demand for her manufacturers.
Taxation enormously increased and the
rich were reduced to poverty in providing for the
poor. Millions emigrated to America and to the
colonies, generally people of the thrifty and productive
classes, thereby reducing the resources of
the country without diminishing her liabilities.
She now proposed to the colonies to tax themselves
for her benefit. This they were not inclined to do.
They were all comparatively poor. They needed
all the money they could raise for public improvements
in their own settlements. Most of them were
heavily in debt. Canada was hopelessly so, practically
bankrupt in fact. Finally the colonies all
declined to be taxed for the benefit of the mother
country. The condition of affairs in the British
empire gave a great impulse to the idea of confederation
with the United States. The plan gained
favor rapidly with the colonies. No nation on
earth was so prosperous then, or possessed of such
vast resources as the United States. The country
was out of debt and enormously wealthy.
“Her army was small, but she had a powerful
navy. She was respected by all the world and had
great influence, as much from her fairness and
justice to other nations as from her known reserved
power and ability to enforce justice to herself.
The British felt the need of an alliance that
would place them in the front rank of nations
again, and all the branches of the empire appeared
anxious for the consolidation with the United
States. This country was desirous of obtaining
Canada, and this made it the more ready to adopt
the union, because it was supposed it must be with
all or none. As this country was by far the most
populous number of the proposed union, it was
conceded that Washington should be the capital
of the new empire. The constitution of the United
States was taken as the basis of the new government
with certain modifications. The President
and Vice President were to be elected by direct
vote of the people, a plurality to elect. They were
to serve six years only. They could not both be
from the same continent or state. The President
was not to have the veto power. The Representatives
were to be 600 in number apportioned among
the states according to population. The senate
was to consist of 100 members elected by the people.
The term of office for both houses was to
be two years. Each natural division as a continent
or island or group of islands was to be divided
into senatorial districts following state boundaries
when practicable, but throwing together
small states or fractions of large ones when necessary
to give the proper quota of population. All
bills were to originate in the House of Representatives,
but were also to pass the senate before becoming
laws; but that body could not alter or
amend—only veto or approve, and the House could
pass any bill in spite of the senate by a two thirds
vote. The President was to appoint his cabinet
with the approval of the senate, but all or any
one was to be required to resign upon a vote of
“want of confidence” by the House of Representatives.
Both the President and Vice President
could be removed from office by a two-thirds vote
of both House and senate and a new election ordered
to fill the unexpired term.
“There was to be free trade amongst all the
states under this constitution and also between
these states and foreign nations except that a
tariff on importations might be imposed when ordered
by a three-fourths vote of the Congress. The
general revenue was to be collected by the County
Commissioners and Treasurers of the counties
of the several states, such officers being for such
purpose, officers of the general government, and
levying such rate of tax as ordered by the law of
Congress in addition to the taxes ordered by the
state, county, city, ward, or school district authorities.
“Suffrage was to be restricted to men and
women who could read and write the English
language. Foreign immigrants were not to be
permitted to settle in colonies in any of the states
or to maintain public schools—except high schools—in
which any other than the English language is
used.
“No state could engage in aggressive foreign
war, but might repel invasion. Only the general
government could engage in war.
“This scheme of government was prepared by a
joint commission appointed for the purpose, and
submitted to the people of the several countries interested,
the British Colonies, each separately, England,
Ireland, the United States and Scotland. All
the colonies, the United States and Ireland voted
for the plan; England and Scotland voted against
it. They were dissatisfied with the provision prohibiting
them from going to war. They had always
enjoyed this luxury and were loth to be deprived
of it. They had hoped the plan of union
would allow them to pursue their schemes of settlement
and annexation as before with the right
to call on the confederation for succor in case they
were hard pressed by foreign enemies. They argued
indeed that actual active assistance would never
in any probable event be required, because with
the mere moral support of such formidable backing
they felt sure that almost any nation would
put up with any amount of insult and injury rather
than resent it against such odds.
“It was supposed by many that the failure of
Great Britain to ratify the general constitution
would defeat the whole scheme. But the colonies
and Ireland had become very much in favor of it,
and hated to be balked by what they termed the
selfish action of the mother country; and they demanded
her consent to the union, of as many as
might choose to join it without her. She was in
no condition to resist their demands if they should
choose to enforce them. But it would have been
folly to have come to blows or even to words over
such a question. The colonies had never been a
source of profit to England, but rather a bill of
expense. She traded with them, but did not possess
a monopoly of their trade, and paid their
tariff dues the same as other people. The United
States enjoyed a larger trade with Canada than
she, and had almost driven her out of the trade
with several of her own West India Islands. Whatever
the position might be that she held with reference
to this commerce, it would not be made worse
by this proposed union, but rather better, for free
trade would take the place of tariffs. She would
also enjoy free trade with the United States, which
alone was worth to her a dozen colonies. The
union of England with her colonies was chiefly
one of sentiment. They governed themselves according
to their own ideas, and were practically
so many independent nations, which she was in
sentiment bound to protect when they got into
trouble, but which had little or nothing to give
her in return for her maternal solicitude and worry.
Their relationship to her tended to make them
impertinent and presumptuous in their intercourse
with other nations. Canada in particular by her
bumptiousness had more than once come very nearly
involving her in ruinous war with the United
States, in which her loss would have been the destruction
of her commerce, and her only gain, the
loss of her pert colony. All these points were discussed
by the English. It was urged that if Britain
tried to keep the Colonies against their will,
the time would surely come when she would have
to give them up against hers. They recalled the
Controversy with the United States and reflected
how much better it would have been for England
if she had permitted them to go off as friends
rather than enemies. And they averred that if she
should give her cordial approbation to the new
union and send off the colonies with the maternal
blessing to join their big brother Jonathan, it
would go far toward curing the unfilial, but not
entirely causeless feeling of bitterness he had entertained
for her since 1776 and 1812.
“As a result of all these reflections and many
more of the same sort, the conclusion was finally
reached and the parliament gave its solemn sanction
to the new State, but with characteristic foresight
exacted one promise to which all the states
acceded before the final act was consummated, and
that was, that the said new nation should forever
be the friend of Great Britain and in case her
existence as a nation were threatened it should
be bound to interpose in her behalf, and if necessary
take up arms in her defense. The name proposed
for the new nation was the “Pan Anglic
Union.” When England failed to ratify, “Pan”
was dropped, and the name became simply the
“Anglic Union.” But it was playfully nicknamed
the “Lion’s Cubs,” the “Old Hen’s Chickens” etc.”
“When did these things happen?” I inquired.
“They were finished by the year 1950,” he replied.
“Did not the various states have to do considerable
remodeling of their forms and procedure
to fit them for this consolidation?”
“Very little, their governments were all much
like that of the United States. Like this country,
they had already turned over to the control of the
state all monopolies, such as railroads, and had
reached the same conclusions as to money, the
suffrage, taxation and most other questions. They
had their legislatures and executive and judicial
branches of government, all about alike. Ireland
had for a decade or more enjoyed home rule. She
came into the new Union as two states, Ulster and
South Ireland. These were soon afterward reconsolidated
into one—Ireland—the causes that led to
their separation, viz, religious jealousy and the
teaching of religion in the schools having been
eliminated by the severance of all connection between
church and state, which the new constitution
required.
“The new nation had hardly got settled down to
business, before new annexations and consolidations
were proposed and after much hesitation and
reflection were agreed to. Mexico, Central America
and Japan proposed to come into the Union,
and shortly after Chili and Argentine made application
for admission. The fact is that in forming
the “Anglic Union” the promoters were building
far more than they realized. Time had without
their knowing it reached a new epoch, and was
about to turn over a new leaf. Men were becoming
educated and mentally developed by strides
instead of inches, by moles instead of molecules.
In forming the “Anglic Union” they had given
expression to a new feeling into which mankind
was just being born, a feeling of human brotherhood,
a new instinct that drew men together and
acquainted them with the fact that they were all
the result of common natural causes and animated
by common loves and hopes and fears. It showed
them they were not naturally and necessarily
enemies, but might and ought to be friends and
mutually helpful to each other. It was the beginning
of the end of war, the epoch of peace and
good will.
“When they began to think of taking other than
English speaking nations into the “Anglic Union,”
it was at once perceived that the name was inadequate,
and so was the constitution. The name was
changed to “The Great Union” and the constitution
was amended in regard to the official language
so far as the non-English speaking nations
were concerned. English however was to be taught
in these nations and it has gradually superseded
the other languages. Schools have everywhere
been established, and the church has been rigidly
separated from the state. The state protects the
church, but contributes nothing to its support, nor
does it compel any unwilling citizen to contribute
to its support by the exemption of its property
from its due proportion of taxation.”
“Have any other nations joined the Great
Union up to the present time besides those you
have mentioned?”
“None others have been admitted into full
membership as equal states, but all the states of
South America have been taken under the protection
of the “Great Union.” They are being
settled and developed by northern people and
the native population gradually educated up to
the required standard. The equatorial climate is
naturally unfavorable to enterprise, and development
proceeds slowly. The church has been a serious
obstacle, claiming time and attention of the
natives that ought to be devoted to business and
education. The country is being covered with
railways by northern enterprise. The most important
of these is the great international road extending
from the city of Mexico through Central America
and the isthmus of Darien and traversing the
whole length of South America, even into Patagonia.
Branches from this trunk diverge toward all
important points and enormous progress has been
made in agriculture and mining. The resources of
this continent furnish a vast support to the teeming
population of North America.”
Mention of these railways led me to inquire
of the Professor concerning the progress of transportation,
and commerce and whether any radical
innovations had been introduced.
“All the old methods of transportation,” said
he, “have been greatly improved upon, but none
of them entirely superseded. Flying machines have
been brought to a reasonable degree of perfection
at the expense of much thought and many experiments,
many fortunes and many broken necks.
But they cannot take the place of the freight car
or the steamship. They are more rapid, easily
making 100 to 150 miles an hour, but they are as
yet of limited capacity carrying light letter mails,
and a few passengers, but at too great an expense
to compete with the improved rail and water carriage
of the present. Besides most people would
rather be near the ground in case of accident. I
mentioned to you the greatly reduced cost of railway
transportation in North America where all
the lines are operated by the state. In most of
the South American states, the roads are merely
controlled—not owned—by the state and there is
active agitation in favor of the annexation of these
states to the Great Union, in anticipation in part
of the advantage that will be obtained by the state
control of roads that will follow.
“The most beneficent service that the flying
machine has rendered is its potent contribution
toward the abolition of war. Men have indeed been
rapidly educated out of the spirit and habit of
war, but the flying machine simply prohibited it.
Without it, an age of peace would undoubtedly
have been reached in the future, with it, the age
of peace is here. International warfare is at an
end and probably forever.”
“I don’t quite see how,” said I.
“It is very easy. One of these machines can
carry enough dynamite, gun cotton and other destructive
explosives to devastate a city of 100,000
inhabitants. It can at will, fly over any place and
drop its deadly stuff precisely where it will do
the most execution. It can select the palace of
the king, the houses of parliament or congress, the
barracks, the citadel, or the magazine, or the thickly
peopled camp of a great army. It can do this
with little risk, deliberately, in broad daylight,
poised two or three miles above its victim out of
reach of practical gunnery; but in the night it can
drop death upon defenseless and unsuspecting
sleepers without a moments warning. Battle ships
are equally useless. A charge of dynamite dropped
from a flyer being able to reduce the greatest ship
to scrap iron and send it to the bottom in a moment.
As personal armor became a useless encumbrance,
when gunpowder was introduced, so the
armoring of ships has entirely passed away in the
presence of the flying machine and naval warfare
is no more practicable than war or land.”
“I should think,” said I, “that the “flyer”
could be converted into a dangerous instrument
for criminal use. What’s the reason pirates and
robbers could not sail down upon a community
small enough to be overpowered by them, and then
sail off again with their booty to some inaccessible
or solitary place?”
“That has been done,” he answered, “but it
is no longer easy. Whenever a fresh emergency
arises in human affairs, a fresh remedy is found to
meet it. It often brings its own remedy. The flyer
is as great an agent in the hands of the police
as it is in the hands of the criminal. As to solitary
places, there are very few left on earth that
are habitable, and there is not a spot that has not
been seen by men, and that is not subject to police
surveillance.”
“Then,” said I, “they must have discovered
the north pole.”
“Yes they have, and the south pole too,” he
replied. “The first trip to the north pole was
made from Cape Prince of Wales in Alaska. The
party flew in a straight line from that point, in
midsummer, north over the pole and continuing
in almost the same direction to the south, reached
Hammerfest in Norway a distance of 3,000 miles in
forty hours without stopping. Parties have gone
from Minneapolis by way of the north pole in an
air line to the town of Tomsk in Siberia a distance
of 5,500 miles, stopping at the pole twelve hours,
and finishing the journey within four days. These
trips have often been repeated and many similar
ones made. It is possible to make the circuit of
the earth in twelve days by means of relays at
certain continental points and on some of the
Pacific Islands; but it can also be made by rail
and water with only four changes, two to rail and
two to steamer in fifteen to seventeen days. Railroads
run to Alaska reaching Bering Sea and the
Pacific at several points, and are met by corresponding
roads on the Russian side. The water
carriage in summer is only across Bering Strait,
but in winter on account of ice the passage is
made further south and is longer.”
“Why don’t they tunnel Bering Strait,” I inquired,
“or bridge it?”
“They will in the future tunnel it part way
and build a dam or embankment the rest of the
way,” he replied, “and utilize the enormous power
of the current passing through there to drive the
trains 1,000 miles on each side of the strait, but
the time has not yet arrived. A bridge would not
stay there, it would be swept away by the ice.”
“Isn’t there danger of collision between these
flying machines?”
“Many fatal collisions took place when the flyers
were first introduced. It was found necessary
to regulate them by government supervision. The
routes between all points have been carefully laid
out and the going and returning paths separated
by a wide and safe space.
“You mentioned the abolition of war. I hardly
see how it could be while there were any uncivilized
nations on earth,” I observed.
“I said international warfare was abolished.”
he returned. “After Russia had taken possession
of Asia and settled its ownership, and Africa had
been divided up amongst the western European
nations, the governments of all nations were civilized.
The regulation of such barbarous subjects
as they might be responsible for, was simply a
question of policing, not war. An insurrection by
them could not succeed against the destructive
weapons held by the government. But as international
affairs are now settled, there is no excuse
for any responsible body of men to resort to force.
The principle of arbitration first adopted between
the United States and Great Britain was subsequently
extended to all civilized nations. Later
there was framed for the guidance of Arbitrators
of international questions, an international constitution
or law of nations agreed to by treaty between
the principal nations and finally ratified by
all. This constitution described the boundaries of
all nations, which it was agreed were not to be
disturbed except on consent of all the parties
concerned, thus doing away with wars for conquest.
“A criminal code was enacted, by which all
crimes between subjects of different nations were
to be tried, and an international court was established,
composed of Judges from every nation.
When a suit is brought before this court, those
judges appointed by the nations parties to the suit,
are excused from serving, and the case is tried by
the others. Questions of damages by one nation
and its decrees when finally reached are acquiesced
in without hesitation, because it is keenly recognized
that any settlement even when not entirely
satisfactory, is preferable to war. In fact war is
not recognized as a practical method of settling
anything.”
“If war is at an end, what have the European
Nations done with their great armies,” I inquired.
“In my day most of the surplus wealth of those
nations went to support their vast armies, and the
masses of the industrial classes were kept in poverty,
because their earnings were so largely diverted
to that purpose. And yet there appeared to be
too many workers, for their wages were very low.
If the soldiers were set to work at peaceful occupations
and married and raised families, the population
must have increased and the wages gone
still lower. How was that?”
“Well, not quite like that,” he replied. “The
more workers the more wealth, provided they have
plenty of raw material to work on. The abolition
of war gave a great impetus to the production
of wealth in Europe. A great demand was created
for raw materials, such as wool, cotton, timber,
iron and other metals and for food stuffs. A large
part of these supplies had to be furnished from
other countries. The United States furnished vast
quantities. This increased commerce, and as the
population increased, emigration was stimulated.
As the United States filled up, the emigration was
diverted from this country to South America and
to Africa. The products and exports of these
countries correspondingly increased. The equatorial
regions are most prolific in all the products of
the soil. The temperate zones furnish the most
vigorous people for consuming these and turning
them into wealth. The relations between these
two regions are reciprocal and complemental rather
than competitive. Free trade was first established
in those directions and it soon forced itself in
others, until it became the rule the world over.
The history of western Europe during the twentieth
century, is bound up with the development
and settlement of South America and Africa, especially
the latter. Modern Africa is as much a
child of Europe as America is, and the native races
and tongues are being rapidly displaced by the
European. Population in Europe naturally increases
in a more rapid ratio than ever before, due
to the suppression of the ravages and waste of
war, the more scientific treatment of disease, and
control of epidemics, the greater comfort and prosperity
of the people. But with their increased
possibilities for comfort have come, an increased
standard and expectation of life, so that it cannot
be said that the people are any better satisfied
with life than they were before. The struggles
are as intense and the disappointments as stinging
as ever. The incentives to emigration have not
diminished while facilities inducements and flattering
prospects to the immigrant are vastly greater
than ever.
“Europe is the great breeding ground for Africa,
as it was formerly for North America. And
the human inundation that formerly poured itself
into the United States is diverted chiefly to Africa,
but in four fold volume.”
“Surely,” said I, “the capacity of the earth
for supporting the human family must be almost
exhausted. It is sickening to contemplate the
suffering that will be entailed in the struggle for
existence that it seems to me must inevitably come
soon. Evidently from what you say, Europe must
be about as full as it will hold. I suppose the
great migration you speak of represents the surplus
crop of folks that the continent must get rid
of in order to let those that remain live in tolerable
comfort. When Africa and South America get
to be as full as Europe and the United States, so
that they can no longer receive this tide of emigration,
then what is to be done? For anything I can
see famine will have to sweep away some of the
race in order that the rest may exist, and after
all is that any better than war?”
“At any rate,” said he, “we have not reached
that yet. We have now reached the beginning of
the twenty-first century. The population of the
earth has reached the very considerable number
of 4,000,000,000 or almost three times what is was
in your day. Yet we concede a three fold increase
of that figure before starvation or some other repressive
agency will be necessary to stop the increase
of the population and that will only be
reached by the year 2070.”
He here pulled out a pencil of curious make
and with his middle left hand dashed off some
strange looking characters on a blank space on
the profile. He was evidently figuring, for in a
moment he went on to say that he found that when
the 40,000,000 square miles of habitable land on
the earth were divided equally between 12,000,000,000,
of people they would have about two acres
each.
I ventured to say, I did not think two acres
enough to furnish an individual with food, taking
his chances of bad seasons from droughts, floods
etc. Besides men could hardly live without timber
and they could have none if all the land were
cultivated. Moreover, they must have animals to
furnish leather, wool etc., and land would be required
for their sustenance.
Land must be also devoted to cotton, flax hemp
and so on for clothes etc. When you allow for
such things as these, I said, I thought the area devoted
to the production of food would not be much
over one acre to the individual by the year 2070,
if he was right about the number of people there
would then be.
“You are only thinking of the crude methods
people had in your day of getting their food from
the earth,” said he. “They were at the mercy of
the uncontrolled action of natural forces and accidents.
The rain and sunshine naturally falling
on an acre of land enabled them to raise so many
bushels of wheat or beans or carrots or beets. But
if the rain did not fall or the sun failed to shine
or there was too much rain or too much sunshine
or the weather was too cold or the wind too boisterous,
the farmer was at the mercy of the fickle
elements and his crop a failure. In a few places
irrigation was practiced, men got a partial control
of the conditions, but these places were limited,
and the control incomplete.
“If you will call to mind the information I have
given you of the artificial production of food and
other necessaries of existence among the Lunarians,
you will readily see that the resources of the earth
to sustain its population do not depend altogether
on the amount of land surface that men can cultivate
to beets and potatoes—the amount on which
the sun shines and the rain falls. Surface you
must have of course for people to live and to move
on. But when you learn how to utilize it there is
material under every acre on an average, more
than sufficient for the sustenance of all the people
that could stand on it. The soil in which you
plant your seeds is nothing but the disintegrated
rock of a thin layer of the surface of the earth.
Below it are rocks of the same sort in quantities
enough to make millions of such soils. If you
knew how, you could make your food products out
of the soil directly instead of waiting for the
growth of plants in it, and if the soil should give
out you could make them from the rocks below.”
“Yes,” said I, “but will mankind ever find out
how to do this? Will you wise and experienced
Lunarians show us?”
“No, it is not necessary that we should. You
will find it out fast enough yourselves. Your
chemists even in your day had begun to take lessons
in chemical synthesis, and as time went on,
and the necessity increased, their efforts were stimulated
and constantly became more successful until
now they can produce a number of artificial
foods from the original elements without the necessity
of raising vegetables or animals by the action
of natural growth. Looking over into the twenty-first
century, we see that they will easily be able
to produce food from the elements as fast as required.
Their abilities and facilities will keep
pace with the population. This implies that the
race will not have to be checked in its expansion
by lack of food. The feature of evolution and selection
of the fittest by means of a struggle for
food will be entirely eliminated. The matter will
be entirely in the hands of the people themselves.”
“How about clothing,” I asked, “will they produce
that too by the aid of chemistry?”
“Yes they will. Sheep will not be required for
their wool any more than their flesh. A substitute
will be found for leather as well as beef. Better
and more durable clothing will be made directly
from minerals than were produced in your time
from vegetable and animal substances. Metals
and artificial mineral products began early in the
twentieth century and even before, to supplant
wood in buildings and many other structures. So
at present the use of wood is greatly reduced and
during the coming century it will be almost discontinued;
a great many things are now made of
Alumina that were formerly made of wood, and
that metal has become cheaper and more abundant
than iron. Glass is also very much used, and
methods have been discovered of giving it any desired
temper, so that it is made flexible and tough
like pewter or firm and elastic like steel. It can
also be made fibrous and soft as cotton and can
be spun and woven into textile fabrics.”
“But what are they going to do for power and
fuel?” I asked. “If there is to be such an increase
of population, an enormous consumption of
fuel and power will follow. Of course they will
use the coal while it lasts, but the supply of that
limited, and if that is the only dependence, all
industries will sooner or later be brought to an
end.”
“The coal,” said he, “was an excellent makeshift
for temporary use until a more enduring
supply of power was discovered to supersede it.
But even now it could if necessary be almost entirely
dispensed with and yet there are still vast
deposits of it untouched. In the long distant
future the time will come when the coal will be
regarded as a deposit of food for your race as it
is now with ours, but it will not be consumed for
its heat or its power except in that way.”
“Have our people then learned how to get power
as you do from the use of the principle of the
repulsion of gravitation?”
“Indeed they have not,” he answered, “and
they are very unlikely ever to find out how to do
it unless instructed by us; and that will never be
till the Lunarians become lunatics. The new power
that has been developed and already brought into
considerable use and which will soon become a
substitute for all others and endure as long as the
earth is habitable is simply sunlight; and the
discovery that is to prove by far the most valuable
ever made by your race is the direct conversion of
its force into electricity, which can as you know be
conveyed hundreds of miles and applied to any
sort of machinery required. When coal is used to
produce electricity, the process is after all an indirect
way of utilizing the force of the sun’s rays.
Ages ago these rays created the vegetation that
afterwards became coal, and in burning the coal
now, the force of the sun’s rays consumed in its
production is again brought into action in heating
the water, that expands into steam that drives the
engine, that turns the dynamo, that creates the
electric current. It was seen long ago that if some
process could be devised by which the force of the
sunlight could be consumed in the creation of
electricity directly, the suns rays of to-day could
be utilized in the production of power instead of
using up the coal that was produced by them in
former ages. It was discovered in your day that
sunlight falling upon the metal selenium is turned
in part into electricity. Acting on this hint your
scientists experimented with that metal and others,
and tried hundreds of combinations and alloys.
They have discovered many compounds that possess
this property, which is found to depend on the
sizes and shapes of the spaces between the molecules
of the metal. The impact of the undulations
of the ether that give rise to light, striking into
the ether confined in these peculiarly shaped spaces
impart to it the sort of motion these shapes make
it competent to take, which is the new form of motion,
electricity. They were largely assisted and
guided in their investigations by spectrum analysis.
The apparatus for the production of electricity
in this way is necessarily of large dimensions
presenting large surface to the sun, and as yet is
rather expensive, but once made, it lasts forever
and produces electricity whenever the sun shines.
Improvements are constantly being made that reduce
the cost and increase the efficiency. These
machines are arranged to turn automatically, a certain
face to the sun, revolving on a horizontal
plane diurnally and changing their declination vertically
to follow the north and south movement of
the sun through the seasons. The electricity is
transmitted to storage batteries and a surplus thus
accumulated during sunshine to be used at night
and in cloudy weather or carried off to be used
elsewhere. These machines yield especially good
results in tropical latitudes and in localities where
clear weather predominates, such as southern California,
Arizona, northern Mexico, the Sahara desert,
Egypt, Arabia, Tartary, Central Australia, etc.
In all such countries railroads are operated at nominal
expense.
“Stations at intervals transmit the power several
hundred miles on either side. As there is practically
no limit to this power it has come to be used
for the accomplishment of undertakings that were
hardly dreamed of before. The irrigation and development
of deserts by means of artesian wells
and by streams brought from a distance, followed
by the construction of roads, settlement and cultivation
are being vigorously prosecuted in all parts
where the climate is not too cold. Large tracts
notably in the Sahara and Gobi deserts and in Arabia
and Tartary, have already been made productive
and populous. This power can be conveyed
to great distances from the point where it is developed,
and made to do work in places practically
inaccessible to any other form of power. Excavation
of canals, railway cuts, tunnels and mines with
the transportation of materials for embankments is
prosecuted with tremendous energy. Innumerable
mines are being pushed far into the bowels of the
earth and the interior explored and honeycombed
in many directions. This work is however destined
to be of vastly more importance in the distant future
than at the present. But I think you can now
see that with practically unlimited power and unlimited
raw materials for the construction of the
human race placed in the hands of the race itself
your fears that the increase of population will ever
press uncomfortably on the means of subsistence
are not well founded.”
“Yes I do begin to see that,” said I. “It is all
very wonderful. What a career the race has before
it! Why it has hardly got out of its cradle yet.
What a misfortune that I was not reserved to be
born two or three centuries later so I could see
some of these future glories!”
“Nay, nay,” he replied, “that is a vain wish.
You may be as happy in your own time as you
could be in the future. In all the ages of the past,
people have been found expressing a poor opinion
of their own times, extolling the golden age that
was past or the millennium that was to come; and
it will be so in the future. If you were to live two
centuries hence you would see as many defects and
shortcomings, and anticipate as many still future
improvements and achievements as you did in your
day.”
“Well, I suppose, that must be so; and yet with
such an apparently absolute control over the earth
it would seem that mankind might make themselves
comfortable and contented.”