OF THE FIRST STAGE OF INDUCTION.—THE DISCOVERY
OF PROXIMATE CAUSES, AND LAWS OF THE LOWEST
DEGREE OF GENERALITY, AND THEIR VERIFICATION.
(137.) The first thing that a philosophic mind
considers, when any new phenomenon presents
itself, is its explanation, or reference to an immediate
producing cause. If that cannot be ascertained,
the next is to generalize the phenomenon,
and include it, with others analogous to it, in the
expression of some law, in the hope that its consideration,
in a more advanced state of knowledge,
may lead to the discovery of an adequate proximate
cause.
(138.) Experience having shown us the manner
in which one phenomenon depends on another in a
great variety of cases, we find ourselves provided,
as science extends, with a continually increasing
stock of such antecedent phenomena, or causes
(meaning at present merely proximate causes),
competent, under different modifications, to the
production of a great multitude of effects, besides
those which originally led to a knowledge of them.
To such causes Newton has applied the term veræ
causæ; that is, causes recognized as having a real existence
in nature, and not being mere hypotheses or
figments of the mind. To exemplify the distinction:—The
phenomenon of shells found in rocks, at
a great height above the sea, has been attributed
to several causes. By some it has been ascribed
to a plastic virtue in the soil; by some, to fermentation;
by some, to the influence of the celestial
bodies; by some, to the casual passage of pilgrims
with their scallops; by some, to birds feeding on
shell-fish; and by all modern geologists, with one
consent, to the life and death of real mollusca
at the bottom of the sea, and a subsequent
alteration of the relative level of the land and
sea. Of these, the plastic virtue and celestial
influence belong to the class of figments of fancy.
Casual transport by pilgrims is a real cause, and
might account for a few shells here and there
dropped on frequented passes, but is not extensive
enough for the purpose of explanation. Fermentation,
generally, is a real cause, so far as that
there is such a thing; but it is not a real cause
of the production of a shell in a rock, since no
such thing was ever witnessed as one of its effects,
and rocks and stones do not ferment. On the other
hand, for a shell-fish dying at the bottom of the
sea to leave his shell in the mud, where it becomes
silted over and imbedded, happens daily; and the
elevation of the bottom of the sea to become dry
land has really been witnessed so often, and on such
a scale, as to qualify it for a vera causa available in
sound philosophy.
(139.) To take another instance, likewise drawn
from the same deservedly popular science:—The
fact of a great change in the general climate of
large tracts of the globe, if not of the whole earth,
and of a diminution of general temperature, having
been recognised by geologists, from their examination
of the remains of animals and vegetables of
former ages enclosed in the strata, various causes
for such diminution of temperature have been assigned.
Some consider the whole globe as having
gradually cooled from absolute fusion; some regard
the immensely superior activity of former volcanoes,
and consequent more copious communication of internal
heat to the surface, in former ages, as the
cause. Neither of these can be regarded as real
causes in the sense here intended; for we do not
know that the globe has so cooled from fusion, nor
are we sure that such supposed greater activity of
former than of present volcanoes really did exist.
A cause, possessing the essential requisites of a
vera causa, has, however, been brought forward40
in the varying influence of the distribution of land
and sea over the surface of the globe: a change of
such distribution, in the lapse of ages, by the degradation
of the old continents, and the elevation of
new, being a demonstrated fact; and the influence
of such a change on the climates of particular regions,
if not of the whole globe, being a perfectly
fair conclusion, from what we know of continental,
insular, and oceanic climates by actual observation.
Here, then, we have, at least, a cause on which a
philosopher may consent to reason; though, whether
the changes actually going on are such as to warrant
the whole extent of the conclusion, or are even
taking place in the right direction, may be considered
as undecided till the matter has been more
thoroughly examined.
(140.) To this we may add another, which
has likewise the essential characters of a vera
causa, in the astronomical fact of the actual slow
diminution of the eccentricity of the earth’s orbit
round the sun; and which, as a general one, affecting
the mean temperature of the whole globe, and
as one of which the effect is both inevitable, and
susceptible, to a certain degree, of exact estimation,
deserves consideration. It is evident that the
mean temperature of the whole surface of the
globe, in so far as it is maintained by the action
of the sun at a higher degree than it would have
were the sun extinguished, must depend on the
mean quantity of the sun’s rays which it receives, or,
which comes to the same thing, on the total quantity
received in a given invariable time: and the length
of the year being unchangeable in all the fluctuations
of the planetary system, it follows, that the
total annual amount of solar radiation will determine,
cæteris paribus, the general climate of the
earth. Now, it is not difficult to show that this
amount is inversely proportional to the minor axis
of the ellipse described by the earth about the
sun, regarded as slowly variable; and that, therefore,
the major axis remaining, as we know it to be,
constant, and the orbit being actually in a state of
approach to a circle, and, consequently, the minor
axis being on the increase, the mean annual amount
of solar radiation received by the whole earth must
be actually on the decrease. We have here, therefore,
an evident real cause, of sufficient universality,
and acting in the right direction, to account
for the phenomenon. Its adequacy is another
consideration.41
(141.) Whenever, therefore, any phenomenon presents
itself for explanation, we naturally seek, in
the first instance, to refer it to some one or other
of those real causes which experience has shown to
exist, and to be efficacious in producing similar
phenomena. In this attempt our probability of
success will, of course, mainly depend, 1st, On the
number and variety of causes experience has placed
at our disposal; 2dly, On our habit of applying them
to the explanation of natural phenomena; and, 3dly,
On the number of analogous phenomena we can
collect, which have either been explained, or which
admit of explanation by some one or other of those
causes, and the closeness of their analogy with that
in question.
(142.) Here, then, we see the great importance
of possessing a stock of analogous instances or phenomena
which class themselves with that under
consideration, the explanation of one among which
may naturally be expected to lead to that of all
the rest. If the analogy of two phenomena be
very close and striking, while, at the same time, the
cause of one is very obvious, it becomes scarcely
possible to refuse to admit the action of an analogous
cause in the other, though not so obvious in itself.
For instance, when we see a stone whirled round in
a sling, describing a circular orbit round the hand,
keeping the string stretched, and flying away the
moment it breaks, we never hesitate to regard it as
retained in its orbit by the tension of the string,
that is, by a force directed to the centre; for we
feel that we do really exert such a force. We have
here the direct perception of the cause. When,
therefore, we see a great body like the moon circulating
round the earth and not flying off, we
cannot help believing it to be prevented from so
doing, not indeed by a material tie, but by that
which operates in the other case through the intermedium
of the string,—a force directed constantly
to the centre. It is thus that we are continually
acquiring a knowledge of the existence
of causes acting under circumstances of such concealment
as effectually to prevent their direct discovery.
(143.) In general we must observe that motion,
wherever produced or changed, invariably points
out the existence of force as its cause; and thus
the forces of nature become known and measured
by the motions they produce. Thus, the force of
magnetism becomes known by the deviation produced
by iron in a compass needle, or by a needle
leaping up to a magnet held over it, as certainly as
by that adhesion to it, when in contact and at rest,
which requires force to break the connection; and
thus the currents produced in the surface of a quantity
of quicksilver, electrified under a conducting
fluid, have pointed out the existence and direction
of forces of enormous intensity developed by the
electric circuit, of which we should not otherwise
have had the least suspicion.42
(144.) But when the cause of a phenomenon neither
presents itself obviously on the consideration of
the phenomenon itself, nor is as it were forced on
our attention by a case of strong analogy, such as
above described, we have then no resource but in
a deliberate assemblage of all the parallel instances
we can muster; that is, to the formation of a class
of facts, having the phenomenon in question for a
head of classification; and to a search among the
individuals of this class for some other common
points of agreement, among which the cause will
of necessity be found. But if more than one cause
should appear, we must then endeavour to find, or, if
we cannot find, to produce, new facts, in which each of
these in succession shall be wanting, while yet they
agree in the general point in question. Here we
find the use of what Bacon terms “crucial instances,”
which are phenomena brought forward to decide
between two causes, each having the same analogies
in its favour. And here, too, we perceive the utility
of experiment as distinguished from mere passive
observation. We make an experiment of the crucial
kind when we form combinations, and put in
action causes from which some particular one shall
be deliberately excluded, and some other purposely
admitted; and by the agreement or disagreement
of the resulting phenomena with those of the class
under examination, we decide our judgment.
(145.) When we would lay down general rules
for guiding and facilitating our search, among a
great mass of assembled facts, for their common
cause, we must have regard to the characters of
that relation which we intend by cause and effect.
Now, these are,—
1st, Invariable connection, and, in particular, invariable
antecedence of the cause and consequence
of the effect, unless prevented by some
counteracting cause. But it must be observed,
that, in a great number of natural phenomena,
the effect is produced gradually, while the cause
often goes on increasing in intensity; so that
the antecedence of the one and consequence of
the other becomes difficult to trace, though it
really exists. On the other hand, the effect
often follows the cause so instantaneously, that
the interval cannot be perceived. In consequence
of this, it is sometimes difficult to decide,
of two phenomena constantly accompanying one
another, which is cause or which effect.
2d, Invariable negation of the effect with absence
of the cause, unless some other cause be capable
of producing the same effect.
3d, Increase or diminution of the effect, with
the increased or diminished intensity of the
cause, in cases which admit of increase and diminution.
4th, Proportionality of the effect to its cause in
all cases of direct unimpeded action.
5th, Reversal of the effect with that of the cause.
(146.) From these characters we are led to the
following observations, which may be considered as
so many propositions readily applicable to particular
cases, or rules of philosophizing: we conclude,
1st, That if in our group of facts there be one in
which any assigned peculiarity, or attendant circumstance,
is wanting or opposite, such peculiarity
cannot be the cause we seek.
(147.) 2d, That any circumstance in which all
the facts without exception agree, may be the
cause in question, or, if not, at least a collateral
effect of the same cause: if there be but one
such point of agreement, this possibility becomes a
certainty; and, on the other hand, if there be more
than one, they may be concurrent causes.
(148.) 3d, That we are not to deny the existence
of a cause in favour of which we have a unanimous
agreement of strong analogies, though it may not be
apparent how such a cause can produce the effect,
or even though it may be difficult to conceive its
existence under the circumstances of the case; in
such cases we should rather appeal to experience
when possible, than decide à priori against the cause,
and try whether it cannot be made apparent.
(149.) For instance: seeing the sun vividly luminous,
every analogy leads us to conclude it intensely
hot. How heat can produce light, we know not;
and how such a heat can be maintained, we can
form no conception. Yet we are not, therefore,
entitled to deny the inference.
(150.) 4th, That contrary or opposing facts are
equally instructive for the discovery of causes with
favourable ones.
(151.) For instance: when air is confined with
moistened iron filings in a close vessel over water,
its bulk is diminished, by a certain portion of it
being abstracted and combining with the iron, producing
rust. And, if the remainder be examined,
it is found that it will not support flame or animal
life. This contrary fact shows that the cause of the
support of flame and animal life is to be looked for
in that part of the air which the iron abstracts, and
which rusts it.
(152.) 5th, That causes will very frequently become
obvious, by a mere arrangement of our facts in
the order of intensity in which some peculiar quality
subsists; though not of necessity, because counteracting
or modifying causes may be at the same
time in action.
(153.) For example: sound consists in impulses
communicated to our ears by the air. If a series of
impulses of equal force be communicated to it at
equal intervals of time, at first in slow succession,
and by degrees more and more rapidly, we hear at
first a rattling noise, then a low murmur, and then a
hum, which by degrees acquires the character of a
musical note, rising higher and higher in acuteness, till
its pitch becomes too high for the ear to follow. And
from this correspondence between the pitch of the
note and the rapidity of succession of the impulse, we
conclude that our sensation of the different pitches
of musical notes originates in the different rapidities
with which their impulses are communicated to our
ears.
(154.) 6th, That such counteracting or modifying
causes may subsist unperceived, and annul the
effects of the cause we seek, in instances which,
but for their action, would have come into our class
of favourable facts; and that, therefore, exceptions
may often be made to disappear by removing or
allowing for such counteracting causes. This remark
becomes of the greatest importance, when (as is
often the case) a single striking exception stands
out, as it were, against an otherwise unanimous array
of facts in favour of a certain cause.
(155.) Thus, in chemistry, the alkaline quality of
the alkaline and earthy bases is found to be due to
the presence of oxygen combined with one or other
of a peculiar set of metals. Ammonia is, however,
a violent outstanding exception, such as here alluded
to, being a compound of azote and hydrogen: but
there are almost certain indications that this exception
is not a real one, but assumes that appearance
in consequence of some modifying cause not understood.
(156.) 7th, If we can either find produced by
nature, or produce designedly for ourselves, two instances
which agree exactly in all but one particular,
and differ in that one, its influence in producing
the phenomenon, if it have any, must thereby be
rendered sensible. If that particular be present
in one instance and wanting altogether in the
other, the production or non-production of the phenomenon
will decide whether it be or be not the
only cause: still more evidently, if it be present
contrariwise in the two cases, and the effect be
thereby reversed. But if its total presence or
absence only produces a change in the degree or
intensity of the phenomenon, we can then only
conclude that it acts as a concurrent cause or
condition with some other to be sought elsewhere.
In nature, it is comparatively rare to find instances
pointedly differing in one circumstance and agreeing
in every other; but when we call experiment to
our aid, it is easy to produce them; and this is, in
fact, the grand application of experiments of enquiry
in physical researches. They become more valuable,
and their results clearer, in proportion as they possess
this quality (of agreeing exactly in all their
circumstances but one), since the question put to
nature becomes thereby more pointed, and its answer
more decisive.
(157.) 8th, If we cannot obtain a complete negative
or opposition of the circumstance whose influence
we would ascertain, we must endeavour to
find cases where it varies considerably in degree.
If this cannot be done, we may perhaps be able to
weaken or exalt its influence by the introduction of
some fresh circumstance, which, abstractedly considered,
seems likely to produce this effect, and thus
obtain indirect evidence of its influence. But then
we are always to remember, that the evidence so
obtained is indirect, and that the new circumstance
introduced may have a direct influence of its own,
or may exercise a modifying one on some other
circumstance.
(158.) 9th, Complicated phenomena, in which
several causes concurring, opposing, or quite independent
of each other, operate at once, so as
to produce a compound effect, may be simplified by
subducting the effect of all the known causes, as
well as the nature of the case permits, either by
deductive reasoning or by appeal to experience, and
thus leaving, as it were, a residual phenomenon to be
explained. It is by this process, in fact, that
science, in its present advanced state, is chiefly promoted.
Most of the phenomena which nature presents
are very complicated; and when the effects of
all known causes are estimated with exactness, and
subducted, the residual facts are constantly appearing
in the form of phenomena altogether new, and
leading to the most important conclusions.
(159.) For example: the return of the comet predicted
by professor Encke, a great many times in
succession, and the general good agreement of its
calculated with its observed place during any one
of its periods of visibility, would lead us to say that its
gravitation towards the sun and planets is the sole
and sufficient cause of all the phenomena of its
orbitual motion; but when the effect of this cause
is strictly calculated and subducted from the observed
motion, there is found to remain behind a
residual phenomenon, which would never have been
otherwise ascertained to exist, which is a small
anticipation of the time of its reappearances or a
diminution of its periodic time, which cannot be
accounted for by gravity, and whose cause is therefore
to be enquired into. Such an anticipation
would be caused by the resistance of a medium disseminated
through the celestial regions; and as
there are other good reasons for believing this to
be a vera causa, it has therefore been ascribed to
such a resistance.
(160.) This 9th observation is of such importance
in science, that we shall exemplify it by another
instance or two. M. Arago, having suspended
a magnetic needle by a silk thread, and set it
in vibration, observed, that it came much sooner
to a state of rest when suspended over a plate of
copper, than when no such plate was beneath
it. Now, in both cases there were two veræ
causæ why it should come at length to rest, viz. the
resistance of the air, which opposes, and at length
destroys, all motions performed in it; and the want
of perfect mobility in the silk thread. But the
effect of these causes being exactly known by the
observation made in the absence of the copper, and
being thus allowed for and subducted, a residual
phenomenon appeared, in the fact that a retarding
influence was exerted by the copper itself; and this
fact, once ascertained, speedily led to the knowledge
of an entirely new and unexpected class of relations.
To add one more instance. If it be true (as M.
Fourrier considers it demonstrated to be) that the
celestial regions have a temperature independent
of the sun, not greatly inferior to that at which
quicksilver congeals, and much superior to some degrees
of cold which have been artificially produced,
two causes suggest themselves: one is that assigned
by the author above mentioned; the radiation of the
stars; another may be proposed in the ether or elastic
medium mentioned in the last section, which the
phenomena of light and the resistance of comets
give us reason to believe fills all space, and which,
in analogy to all the elastic media known, may be
supposed to possess a temperature and a specific
heat of its own, which it is capable of communicating
to bodies surrounded by it. Now, if we
consider that the heat radiated by the sun follows
the same proportion as its light, and regard it as
reasonable to admit with respect to stellar heat
what holds good of solar; the effect of stellar radiation
in maintaining a temperature in space should
be as much inferior to that of the radiation of the
sun as the light of a moonless midnight is to that
of an equatorial noon; that is to say, almost inconceivably
smaller. Allowing, then, the full effect
for this cause, there would still remain a great
residuum due to the presence of the ether.
(161.) Many of the new elements of chemistry
have been detected in the investigation of residual
phenomena. Thus, Arfwedson discovered lithia by
perceiving an excess of weight in the sulphate produced
from a small portion of what he considered as
magnesia present in a mineral he had analysed. It
is on this principle, too, that the small concentrated
residues of great operations in the arts are almost sure
to be the lurking places of new chemical ingredients:
witness iodine, brome, selenium, and the new metals
accompanying platina in the experiments of Wollaston
and Tennant. It was a happy thought of
Glauber to examine what every body else threw
away.
(162.) Finally, we have to observe, that the detection
of a possible cause, by the comparison of
assembled cases, must lead to one of two things:
either, 1st, The detection of a real cause, and of its
manner of acting, so as to furnish a complete explanation
of the facts; or, 2dly, The establishment
of an abstract law of nature, pointing out two phenomena
of a general kind as invariably connected;
and asserting, that where one is, there the other
will always be found. Such invariable connection
is itself a phenomenon of a higher order than any
particular fact; and when many such are discovered,
we may again proceed to classify, combine, and
examine them, with a view to the detection of their
causes, or the discovery of still more general laws,
and so on without end.
(163.) Let us now exemplify this inductive search
for a cause by one general example: suppose dew
were the phenomenon proposed, whose cause we
would know. In the first place, we must separate
dew from rain and the moisture of fogs, and limit the
application of the term to what is really meant,
which is, the spontaneous appearance of moisture on
substances exposed in the open air when no rain or
visible wet is falling. Now, here we have analogous
phenomena in the moisture which bedews a cold
metal or stone when we breathe upon it; that which
appears on a glass of water fresh from the well in hot
weather; that which appears on the inside of windows
when sudden rain or hail chills the external air; that
which runs down our walls when, after a long frost, a
warm moist thaw comes on: all these instances
agree in one point (Rule 2. § 147.), the coldness of
the object dewed, in comparison with the air in
contact with it.
(164.) But, in the case of the night dew, is this a
real cause—is it a fact that the object dewed is colder
than the air? Certainly not, one would at first be
inclined to say; for what is to make it so? But the
analogies are cogent and unanimous; and, therefore,
(pursuant to Rule 3. § 148.) we are not to discard their
indications; and, besides, the experiment is easy: we
have only to lay a thermometer in contact with the
dewed substance, and hang one at a little distance
above it out of reach of its influence. The experiment
has been therefore made; the question has
been asked, and the answer has been invariably in the
affirmative. Whenever an object contracts dew, it is
colder than the air. Here, then, we have an invariable
concomitant circumstance: but is this chill an
effect of dew, or its cause? That dews are accompanied
with a chill is a common remark; but vulgar
prejudice would make the cold the effect rather
than the cause. We must, therefore, collect more
facts, or, which comes to the same thing, vary the
circumstances; since every instance in which the
circumstances differ is a fresh fact; and, especially,
we must note the contrary or negative cases (Rule
4. § 150.), i. e. where no dew is produced.
(165.) Now, 1st, no dew is produced on the surface
of polished metals, but it is very copiously on
glass, both exposed with their faces upwards, and
in some cases the under side of a horizontal plate of
glass is also dewed; which last circumstance (by
Rule 1. § 146.) excludes the fall of moisture from
the sky in an invisible form, which would naturally
suggest itself as a cause. In the cases of
polished metal and polished glass, the contrast
shows evidently that the substance has much to do
with the phenomenon; therefore, let the substance
alone be diversified as much as possible, by exposing
polished surfaces of various kinds. This done, a
scale of intensity becomes obvious (Rule 5. § 152.).
Those polished substances are found to be most
strongly dewed which conduct heat worst; while
those which conduct well resist dew most effectually.
Here we encounter a law of the first degree of generality.
But, if we expose rough surfaces, instead of
polished, we sometimes find this law interfered with
(Rule 5. § 152.). Thus, roughened iron, especially if
painted over or blackened, becomes dewed sooner
than varnished paper: the kind of surface therefore
has a great influence. Expose, then, the same material
in very diversified states as to surface (Rule 7.
§ 156.), and another scale of intensity becomes at once
apparent; those surfaces which part with their heat
most readily by radiation are found to contract
dew most copiously: and thus we have detected
another law of the same generality with the former,
by a comparison of two classes of facts, one relating
to dew, the other to the radiation of heat from
surfaces. Again, the influence ascertained to exist
of substance and surface leads us to consider that of
texture: and here, again, we are presented on trial
with remarkable differences, and with a third scale
of intensity, pointing out substances of a close firm
texture, such as stones, metals, &c. as unfavourable,
but those of a loose one, as cloth, wool, velvet,
eiderdown, cotton, &c. as eminently favourable, to
the contraction of dew: and these are precisely those
which are best adapted for clothing, or for impeding
the free passage of heat from the skin into the air,
so as to allow their outer surfaces to be very cold
while they remain warm within.
(166.) Lastly, among the negative instances,
(§ 150.) it is observed, that dew is never copiously
deposited in situations much screened from the open
sky, and not at all in a cloudy night; but if the
clouds withdraw, even for a few minutes, and leave
a clear opening, a deposition of dew presently begins,
and goes on increasing. Here, then, a cause is distinctly
pointed out by its antecedence to the effect
in question (§ 145.). A clear view of the cloudless
sky, then, is an essential condition, or, which comes
to the same thing, clouds or surrounding objects act
as opposing causes. This is so much the case, that
dew formed in clear intervals will often even evaporate
again when the sky becomes thickly overcast
(Rule 4. § 150.).
(167.) When we now come to assemble these partial
inductions so as to raise from them a general conclusion,
we consider, 1st, That all the conclusions we
have come to have a reference to that first general
fact—the cooling of the exposed surface of the body
dewed below the temperature of the air. Those
surfaces which part with their heat outwards most
readily, and have it supplied from within most
slowly, will, of course, become coldest if there be an
opportunity for their heat to escape, and not be
restored to them from without. Now, a clear sky affords
such an opportunity. It is a law well known
to those who are conversant with the nature of heat,
that heat is constantly escaping from all bodies in
rays, or by radiation, but is as constantly restored
to them by the similar radiation of others surrounding
them. Clouds and surrounding objects therefore
act as opposing causes by replacing the whole or a
great part of the heat so radiated away, which can
escape effectually, without being replaced, only
through openings into infinite space. Thus, at
length, we arrive at the general proximate cause of
dew, in the cooling of the dewed surface by radiation
faster than its heat can be restored to it,
by communication with the ground, or by counter-radiation;
so as to become colder than the air, and
thereby to cause a condensation of its moisture.
(168.) We have purposely selected this theory
of dew, first developed by the late Dr. Wells, as one
of the most beautiful specimens we can call to mind
of inductive experimental enquiry lying within a
moderate compass. It is not possible in so brief a
space to do it justice; but we earnestly recommend
his work43 (a short and very entertaining one) for
perusal to the student of natural philosophy, as a
model with which he will do well to become familiar.
(169.) In the analysis above given, the formation
of dew is referred to two more general phenomena;
the radiation of heat, and the condensation of invisible
vapour by cold. The cause of the former
is a much higher enquiry, and may be said, indeed,
to be totally unknown; that of the latter actually
forms a most important branch of physical enquiry.
In such a case, when we reason upwards till we reach
an ultimate fact, we regard a phenomenon as fully explained;
as we consider the branch of a tree to
terminate when traced to its insertion in the trunk,
or a twig to its junction with the branch; or rather,
as a rivulet retains its importance and its name till
lost in some larger tributary, or in the main river
which delivers it into the ocean. This, however, always
supposes that, on a reconsideration of the case,
we see clearly how the admission of such a fact,
with all its attendant laws, will perfectly account
for every particular—as well those which, in the different
stages of the induction, have led us to a knowledge
of it, as those which we had neglected, or
considered less minutely than the rest. But, had
we no previous knowledge of the radiation of heat,
this same induction would have made it known to
us, and, duly considered, might have led to the
knowledge of many of its laws.
(170.) In the study of nature, we must not,
therefore, be scrupulous as to how we reach to a
knowledge of such general facts: provided only
we verify them carefully when once detected, we
must be content to seize them wherever they are to
be found. And this brings us to consider the verification
of inductions.
(171.) If, in our induction, every individual case
has actually been present to our minds, we are sure
that it will find itself duly represented in our final conclusion:
but this is impossible for such cases as
were unknown to us, and hardly ever happens even
with all the known cases; for such is the tendency
of the human mind to speculation, that on the least
idea of an analogy between a few phenomena, it
leaps forward, as it were, to a cause or law, to the
temporary neglect of all the rest; so that, in fact,
almost all our principal inductions must be regarded
as a series of ascents and descents, and of conclusions
from a few cases, verified by trial on many.
(172.) Whenever, therefore, we think we have
been led by induction to the knowledge of the proximate
cause of a phenomenon or of a law of nature, our
next business is to examine deliberately and seriatim
all the cases we have collected of its occurrence, in
order to satisfy ourselves that they are explicable
by our cause, or fairly included in the expression
of our law: and in case any exception occurs, it must
be carefully noted and set aside for re-examination
at a more advanced period, when, possibly, the cause
of exception may appear, and the exception itself,
by allowing for the effect of that cause, be brought
over to the side of our induction; but should exceptions
prove numerous and various in their features,
our faith in the conclusion will be proportionally
shaken, and at all events its importance
lessened by the destruction of its universality.
(173.) In the conduct of this verification, we are to
consider whether the cause or law to which we are
conducted be one already known and recognised as
a more general one, whose nature is well understood,
and of which the phenomenon in question is but one
more case in addition to those already known, or
whether it be one less general, less known, or altogether
new. In the latter case, our verification will
suffice, if it merely shows that all the cases considered
are plainly cases in point. But in the
former, the process of verification is of a much more
severe and definite kind. We must trace the action
of our cause with distinctness and precision, as modified
by all the circumstances of each case; we must
estimate its effects, and show that nothing unexplained
remains behind; at least, in so far as the
presence of unknown modifying causes is not concerned.
(174.) Now, this is precisely the sort of process in
which residual phenomena (such as spoken of in art.
158.) may be expected to occur. If our induction
be really a valid and a comprehensive one, whatever
remains unexplained in the comparison of its conclusion
with particular cases, under all their circumstances,
is such a phenomenon, and comes in its
turn to be a subject of inductive reasoning to discover
its cause or laws. It is thus that we may be
said to witness facts with the eyes of reason; and it
is thus that we are continually attaining a knowledge
of new phenomena and new laws which lie
beneath the surface of things, and give rise to the
creation of fresh branches of science more and
more remote from common observation.
(175.) Physical astronomy affords numerous and
splendid instances of this. The law, for example,
which asserts that the planets are retained in their
orbits about the sun, and satellites about their primaries,
by an attractive force, decreasing as the
square of the distances increases, comes to be verified
in each particular case by deducing from it
the exact motions which, under the circumstances,
ought to take place, and comparing them with fact.
This comparison, while it verifies in general the
existence of the law of gravitation as supposed, and
its adequacy to explain all the principal motions
of every body in the system, yet leaves some
small deviations in those of the planets, and some
very considerable ones in that of the moon and other
satellites, still unaccounted for; residual phenomena,
which still remain to be traced up to causes. By
further examining these, their causes have at length
been ascertained, and found to consist in the mutual
actions of the planets on each other, and the disturbing
influence of the sun on the motions of the
satellites.
(176.) But a law of nature has not that degree of
generality which fits it for a stepping-stone to
greater inductions, unless it be universal in its application.
We cannot rely on its enabling us to
extend our views beyond the circle of instances
from which it was obtained, unless we have already
had experience of its power to do so; unless it
actually has enabled us before trial to say what will
take place in cases analogous to those originally
contemplated; unless, in short, we have studiously
placed ourselves in the situation of its antagonists,
and even perversely endeavoured to find exceptions
to it without success. It is in the precise proportion
that a law once obtained endures this
extreme severity of trial, that its value and importance
are to be estimated; and our next step in
the verification of an induction must therefore consist
in extending its application to cases not originally
contemplated; in studiously varying the circumstances
under which our causes act, with a view
to ascertain whether their effect is general; and in
pushing the application of our laws to extreme
cases.
(177.) For example, a fair induction from a
great number of facts led Galileo to conclude that
the accelerating power of gravity is the same on all
sorts of bodies, and on great and small masses indifferently;
and this he exemplified by letting bodies
of very different natures and weights fall at the
same instant from a high tower, when it was observed
that they struck the ground at the same
moment, abating a certain trifling difference, due, as
he justly believed it to be, to the greater proportional
resistance of the air to light than to heavy
bodies. The experiment could not, at that time,
be fairly tried with extremely light substances, such
as cork, feathers, cotton, &c. because of the great resistance
experienced by these in their fall; no means
being then known of removing this cause of disturbance.
It was not, therefore, till after the invention
of the air-pump that this law could be put to the
severe test of an extreme case. A guinea and a
downy feather were let drop at once from the upper
part of a tall exhausted glass, and struck the bottom
at the same moment. Let any one make the
trial in the air, and he will perceive the force of an
extreme case.
(178.) In the verification of a law whose expression
is quantitative, not only must its generality be established
by the trial of it in as various circumstances
as possible, but every such trial must be one of precise
measurement. And in such cases the means
taken for subjecting it to trial ought to be so devised
as to repeat and multiply a great number of
times any deviation (if any exist); so that, let it be
ever so small, it shall at last become sensible.
(179.) For instance, let the law to be verified
be, that the gravity of every material body is in the
direct proportion of its mass, which is only another
mode of expressing Galileo’s law above mentioned.
The time of falling from any moderate height cannot
be measured with precision enough for our purpose:
but if it can be repeated a very great multitude of
times without any loss or gain in the intervals, and the
whole amount of the times of fall so repeated measured
by a clock; and if at the same time the resistance
of the air can be rendered exactly alike for all the
bodies tried, we have here Galileo’s trial in a much
more refined state; and it is evident that almost unlimited
exactness may be obtained. Now, all this
Newton accomplished by the simple and elegant
contrivance of enclosing in a hollow pendulum the
same weights of a great number of substances the
most different that could be found in all respects, as
gold, glass, wood, water, wheat, &c.44, and ascertaining
the time required for the pendulum so charged
to make a great number of oscillations; in each of
which it is clear the weights had to fall, and be
raised again successively, without loss of time,
through the same identical spaces. Thus any difference,
however inconsiderable, that might exist in the
time of one such fall and rise would be multiplied and
accumulated till they became sensible. And none
having been discovered by so delicate a process in
any case, the law was considered verified both in respect
of generality and exactness. This, however, is
nothing to the verifications afforded by astronomical
phenomena, where the deviations, if any, accumulate
for thousands of years instead of a few hours.
(180.) The surest and best characteristic of a
well-founded and extensive induction, however, is
when verifications of it spring up, as it were,
spontaneously, into notice, from quarters where
they might be least expected, or even among
instances of that very kind which were at first
considered hostile to them. Evidence of this kind
is irresistible, and compels assent with a weight
which scarcely any other possesses. To give an example:
M. Mitscherlich had announced a law to this
effect—that the chemical elements of which all
bodies consist are susceptible of being classified
in distinct groups, which he termed isomorphous
groups; and that these groups are so related,
that when similar combinations are formed of individuals
belonging to two, three, or more of them,
such combinations will crystallize in the same geometrical
forms. To this curious and important
law there appeared a remarkable exception. According
to professor Mitscherlich, the arsenic and
phosphoric acids are similar combinations coming
under the meaning of his law, and their combinations
with soda and water, forming the salts
known to chemists under the names of arseniate
and phosphate of soda, ought, if the law were
general, to crystallize in identical shapes. The
fact, however, was understood to be otherwise.
But lately, Mr. Clarke, a British chemist, having
examined the two salts attentively, ascertained
the fact that their compositions deviate essentially
from that similarity which M. Mitscherlich’s law
requires; and that, therefore, the exception in
question disappears. This was something: but,
pursuing the subject further, the same ingenious
enquirer happily succeeded in producing a new phosphate
of soda, differing from that generally known
in containing a different proportion of water, and
agreeing in composition exactly with the arseniate.
The crystals of this new salt, when examined,
were found by him to be precisely identical in form
with those of the arseniate: thus verifying, in a
most striking and totally unexpected manner, the
law in question, or, as it is called, the law of
isomorphism.
(181.) Unexpected and peculiarly striking confirmations
of inductive laws frequently occur in the
form of residual phenomena, in the course of investigations
of a widely different nature from those
which gave rise to the inductions themselves. A
very elegant example may be cited in the unexpected
confirmation of the law of the developement
of heat in elastic fluids by compression, which is
afforded by the phenomena of sound. The enquiry
into the cause of sound had led to conclusions respecting
its mode of propagation, from which its
velocity in the air could be precisely calculated.
The calculations were performed; but, when compared
with fact, though the agreement was quite
sufficient to show the general correctness of the
cause and mode of propagation assigned, yet
the whole velocity could not be shown to arise
from this theory. There was still a residual velocity
to be accounted for, which placed dynamical
philosophers for a long time in a great dilemma.
At length Laplace struck on the happy idea, that
this might arise from the heat developed in the act
of that condensation which necessarily takes place at
every vibration by which sound is conveyed. The
matter was subjected to exact calculation, and the
result was at once the complete explanation of the
residual phenomenon, and a striking confirmation
of the general law of the developement of heat by
compression, under circumstances beyond artificial
imitation.
(182.) In extending our inductions to cases not
originally contemplated, there is one step which
always strikes the mind with peculiar force, and with
such a sensation of novelty and surprise, as often
gives it a weight beyond its due philosophic value.
It is the transition from the little to the great, and
vice versâ, but especially the former. It is so beautiful
to see, for instance, an experiment performed
in a watch-glass, or before a blowpipe, succeed, in a
great manufactory, on many tons of matter, or, in the
bosom of a volcano, upon millions of cubic fathoms
of lava, that we almost forget that these great masses
are made up of watch-glassfuls, and blowpipe-beads.
We see the enormous intervals between the
stars and planets of the heavens, which afford room
for innumerable processes to be carried on, for
light and heat to circulate, and for curious and
complicated motions to go forward among them:
we look more attentively, and we see sidereal systems,
probably not less vast and complicated than our
own, crowded apparently into a small space (from
the effect of their distance from us), and forming
groups resembling bodies of a substantial appearance,
having form and outline: yet we recoil with
incredulous surprise when we are asked why we
cannot conceive the atoms of a grain of sand to be
as remote from each other (proportionally to their
sizes) as the stars of the firmament; and why
there may not be going on, in that little microcosm,
processes as complicated and wonderful as those of
the great world around us. Yet the student who
makes any progress in natural philosophy will encounter
numberless cases in which this transfer of
ideas from the one extreme of magnitude to the
other will be called for: he will find, for instance,
the phenomena of the propagation of winds referred
to the same laws which regulate the propagation
of motions through the smallest masses of air; those
of lightning assimilated to the mere communication
of an electric spark, and those of earthquakes to the
tremors of a stretched wire: in short, he must lay
his account to finding the distinction of great and
little altogether annihilated in nature: and it is well
for man that such is the case, and that the same
laws, which he can discover and verify in his own
circumscribed sphere of power, should prove available
to him when he comes to apply them on the
greatest scale; since it is thus only that he is enabled
to become an exciting cause in operations of
any considerable magnitude, and to vindicate his
importance in creation.
(183.) But the business of induction does not
end here: its final result must be followed out into
all its consequences, and applied to all those cases
which seem even remotely to bear upon the subject
of enquiry. Every new addition to our stock
of causes becomes a means of fresh attack with new
vantage ground upon all those unexplained parts of
former phenomena which have resisted previous
efforts. It can hardly be pressed forcibly enough
on the attention of the student of nature, that there
is scarcely any natural phenomenon which can be
fully and completely explained in all its circumstances,
without a union of several, perhaps of all,
the sciences. The great phenomena of astronomy,
indeed, may be considered exceptions; but this is
merely because their scale is so vast that one only
of the most widely extending forces of nature takes
the lead, and all those agents whose sphere of action
is limited to narrower bounds, and which determine
the production of phenomena nearer at hand, are
thrown into the back ground, and become merged
and lost in comparative insignificance. But in the
more intimate phenomena which surround us it is
far otherwise. Into what a complication of different
branches of science are we not led by the consideration
of such a phenomenon as rain, for instance,
or flame, or a thousand others, which are constantly
going on before our eyes? Hence, it is hardly
possible to arrive at the knowledge of a law of
any degree of generality in any branch of science,
but it immediately furnishes us with a means of
extending our knowledge of innumerable others,
the most remote from the point we set out from;
so that, when once embarked in any physical research,
it is impossible for any one to predict where
it may ultimately lead him.
(184.) This remark rather belongs to the inverse
or deductive process, by which we pursue laws into
their remote consequences. But it is very important
to observe, that the successful process of scientific
enquiry demands continually the alternate use of
both the inductive and deductive method. The path
by which we rise to knowledge must be made smooth
and beaten in its lower steps, and often ascended and
descended, before we can scale our way to any eminence,
much less climb to the summit. The achievement
is too great for a single effort; stations must
be established, and communications kept open with
all below. To quit metaphor; there is nothing so
instructive, or so likely to lead to the acquisition of
general views, as this pursuit of the consequences of
a law once arrived at into every subject where it
may seem likely to have an influence. The discovery
of a new law of nature, a new ultimate fact,
or one that even temporarily puts on that appearance,
is like the discovery of a new element in chemistry.
Thus, selenium was hardly discovered by
Berzelius in the vitriol works of Fahlun, when it
presently made its appearance in the sublimates of
Stromboli, and the rare and curious products of the
Hungarian mines. And thus it is with every new
law, or general fact. It is hardly announced before
its traces are found every where, and every one is
astonished at its having so long remained concealed.
And hence it happens that unexpected lights are
shed at length over parts of science that had been
abandoned in despair, and given over to hopeless
obscurity.
(185.) The verification of quantitative laws has
been already spoken of (178.); but their importance in
physical science is so very great, inasmuch as they
alone afford a handle to strict mathematical deductive
application, that something ought to be said of
the nature of the inductions by which they are to
be arrived at. In their simplest or least general
stages (of which alone we speak at present) they
usually express some numerical relation between
two quantities dependent on each other, either as
collateral effects of a common cause, or as the
amount of its effect under given numerical circumstances
or data. For example, the law of refraction
before noticed (§ 22.) expresses, by a very
simple relation, the amount of angular deviation of a
ray of light from its course, when the angle at which
it is inclined to the refracting surface is known,
viz. that the sine of the angle which the incident
ray makes with a perpendicular to the surface is
always to that of the angle made by the refracted
ray with the same perpendicular, in a constant proportion,
so long as the refracting substance is the
same. To arrive inductively at laws of this kind,
where one quantity depends on or varies with another,
all that is required is a series of careful and exact
measures in every different state of the datum and
quæsitum. Here, however, the mathematical form
of the law being of the highest importance, the
greatest attention must be given to the extreme cases
as well as to all those points where the one quantity
changes rapidly with a small change of the other.45
The results must be set down in a table in which
the datum gradually increases in magnitude from
the lowest to the highest limit of which it is susceptible.
It will depend then entirely on our habit
of treating mathematical subjects, how far we may
be able to include such a table in the distinct statement
of a mathematical law. The discovery of
such laws is often remarkably facilitated by the
contemplation of a class of phenomena to be noticed
further on, under the head of Collective Instances,
(see § 194.) in which the nature of the mathematical
expression in which the law sought is comprehended,
is pointed out by the figure of some
curve brought under inspection by a proper mode
of experimenting.
(186.) After all, unless our induction embraces
a series of cases which absolutely include the
whole scale of variation of which the quantities
in question admit, the mathematical expression so
obtained cannot be depended upon as the true one,
and if the scale actually embraced be small, the
extension of laws so derived to extreme cases will
in all probability be exceedingly fallacious. For
example, air is an elastic fluid, and as such, if
enclosed in a confined space and squeezed, its bulk
diminishes: now, from a great number of trials made
in cases where the air has been compressed into a
half, a third, &c. even as far as a fiftieth of its bulk,
or less, it has been concluded that “the density of
air is proportional to the compressing force,” or the
bulk it occupies inversely as that force; and when
the air is rarefied by taking off part of its natural
pressure, the same is found to be the case, within
very extensive limits. Yet it is impossible that this
should be, strictly or mathematically speaking, the
true law; for, if it were so, there could be no limit
to the condensation of air, while yet we have the
strongest analogies to show that long before it had
reached any very enormous pitch the air would be
reduced into a liquid, and even, perhaps, if pressed
yet more violently, into a solid form.
(187.) Laws thus derived, by the direct process
of including in mathematical formulæ the results
of a greater or less number of measurements, are
called “empirical laws.” A good example of such
a law is that given by Dr. Young (Phil. Trans. 1826,)
for the decrement of life, or the law of mortality.
Empirical laws in this state are evidently unverified
inductions, and are to be received and reasoned on
with the utmost reserve. No confidence can ever
be placed in them beyond the limits of the data from
which they are derived; and even within those limits
they require a special and severe scrutiny to
examine how nearly they do represent the observed
facts; that is to say, whether, in the comparison of
their results with the observed quantities, the differences
are such as may fairly be attributed to error
of observation. When so carefully examined, they
become, however, most valuable; and frequently,
when afterwards verified theoretically by a deductive
process (as will be explained in our next chapter),
turn out to be rigorous laws of nature, and afford
the noblest and most convincing supports of which
theories themselves are susceptible. The finest
instances of this kind are the great laws of the
planetary motions deduced by Kepler, entirely from
a comparison of observations with each other, with
no assistance from theory. These laws, viz. that
the planets move in ellipses round the sun; that
each describes about the sun’s centre equal areas in
equal times; and that in the orbits of different planets
the squares of the periodical times are proportional
to the cubes of the distances; were the results
of inconceivable labour of calculation and comparison:
but they amply repaid the labour bestowed
on them, by affording afterwards the most conclusive
and unanswerable proofs of the Newtonian system.
On the other hand, when empirical laws are unduly
relied on beyond the limits of the observations from
which they were deduced, there is no more fertile
source of fatal mistakes. The formulæ which have
been empirically deduced for the elasticity of steam
(till very recently), and those for the resistance of
fluids, and other similar subjects, have almost invariably
failed to support the theoretical structures
which have been erected on them.
(188.) It is a remarkable and happy fact, that
the shortest and most direct of all inductions
should be that which has led at once, or by very
few steps, to the highest of all natural laws,—we
mean those of motion and force. Nothing can
be more simple, precise, and general, than the
enunciation of these laws; and, as we have once
before observed, their application to particular facts
in the descending or deductive method is limited
by nothing but the limited extent of our mathematics.
It would seem, then, that dynamical science
were taken thenceforward out of the pale of induction,
and transformed into a matter of absolute
à priori reasoning, as much as geometry; and so it
would be, were our mathematics perfect, and all the
data known. Unhappily, the first is so far from being
the case, that in many of the most interesting
branches of dynamical enquiry they leave us completely
at a loss. In what relates to the motions of
fluids, for instance, this is severely felt. We can
include our problems, it is true, in algebraical equations,
and we can demonstrate that they contain
the solutions; but the equations themselves are so
intractable, and present such insuperable difficulties,
that they often leave us quite as much in the dark
as before. But even were these difficulties overcome,
recourse to experience must still be had, to
establish the data on which particular applications
are to depend; and although mathematical analysis
affords very powerful means of representing in
general terms the data of any proposed case, and
afterwards, by comparison of its results with fact,
determining what those data must be to explain
the observed phenomena, still, in any mode of
considering the matter, an appeal to experience in
every particular instance of application is unavoidable,
even when the general principles are regarded
as sufficiently established without it. Now, in all
such cases of difficulty we must recur to our inductive
processes, and regard the branches of dynamical
science where this takes place as purely
experimental. By this we gain an immense advantage,
viz. that in all those points of them where
the abstract dynamical principles do afford distinct
conclusions, we obtain verifications for our inductions
of the highest and finest possible kind. When
we work our way up inductively to one of these
results, we cannot help feeling the strongest assurance
of the validity of the induction.
(189.) The necessity of this appeal to experiment
in every thing relating to the motions of fluids on
the large scale has long been felt. Newton himself,
who laid the first foundations of hydrodynamical
science (so this branch of dynamics is called), distinctly
perceived it, and set the example of laborious
and exact experiments on their resistance to motion,
and other particulars. Venturi, Bernoulli, and
many others, have applied the method of experiment
to the motions of fluids in pipes and canals; and
recently the brothers Weber have published an elaborate
and excellent experimental enquiry into the
phenomena of waves. One of the greatest and most
successful attempts, however, to bring an important,
and till then very obscure, branch of dynamical
enquiry back to the dominion of experiment, has
been made by Chladni and Savart in the case of
sound and vibratory motion in general; and it is
greatly to be wished that the example may be followed
in many others hardly less abstruse and
impracticable when theoretically treated. In such
cases the inductive and deductive methods of enquiry
may be said to go hand in hand, the one verifying
the conclusions deduced by the other; and the
combination of experiment and theory, which may
thus be brought to bear in such cases, forms an engine
of discovery infinitely more powerful than either
taken separately. This state of any department of
science is perhaps of all others the most interesting,
and that which promises the most to research.
(190.) It can hardly be expected that we
should terminate this division of our subject without
some mention of the “prerogatives of instances”
of Bacon, by which he understands characteristic
phenomena, selected from the great miscellaneous
mass of facts which occur in nature, and which, by
their number, indistinctness, and complication, tend
rather to confuse than to direct the mind in its
search for causes and general heads of induction.
Phenomena so selected on account of some peculiarly
forcible way in which they strike the reason,
and impress us with a kind of sense of causation,
or a particular aptitude for generalization, he considers,
and justly, as holding a kind of prerogative
dignity, and claiming our first and especial attention
in physical enquiries.
(191.) We have already observed that, in forming
inductions, it will most commonly happen that
we are led to our conclusions by the especial
force of some two or three strongly impressive
facts, rather than by affording the whole mass of
cases a regular consideration; and hence the need
of cautious verification. Indeed, so strong is this
propensity of the human mind, that there is hardly
a more common thing than to find persons ready to
assign a cause for every thing they see, and, in so
doing, to join things the most incongruous, by analogies
the most fanciful. This being the case, it is
evidently of great importance that these first ready
impulses of the mind should be made on the contemplation
of the cases most likely to lead to good
inductions. The misfortune, however, is, in natural
philosophy, that the choice does not rest with us.
We must take the instances as nature presents
them. Even if we are furnished with a list of them
in tabular order, we must understand and compare
them with each other, before we can tell which are
the instances thus deservedly entitled to the highest
consideration. And, after all, after much labour in
vain, and groping in the dark, accident or casual
observation will present a case which strikes us at
once with a full insight into a subject, before we
can even have time to determine to what class its
prerogative belongs. For example, the laws of crystallography
were obscure, and its causes still more
so, till Haüy fortunately dropped a beautiful crystal
of calcareous spar on a stone pavement, and broke
it. In piecing together the fragments, he observed
their facets not to correspond with those of the
crystal in its entire state, but to belong to another
form; and, following out the hint offered by a
“glaring instance” thus casually obtruded on his
notice, he discovered the beautiful laws of the
cleavage, and the primitive forms of minerals.
(192.) It has always appeared to us, we must
confess, that the help which the classification of instances,
under their different titles of prerogative,
affords to inductions, however just such classification
may be in itself, is yet more apparent than real.
The force of the instance must be felt in the mind,
before it can be referred to its place in the system;
and, before it can be either referred or appretiated,
it must be known; and when it is appretiated, we
are ready enough to interweave it in our web of induction,
without greatly troubling ourselves with
enquiring whence it derives the weight we acknowledge
it to have in our decisions. However, since
much importance is usually attached to this part of
Bacon’s work, we shall here give a few examples
to illustrate the nature of some of his principal cases.
One, of what he calls “glaring instances,” has just
been mentioned. In these, the nature or cause enquired
into, (which in this case is the cause of the
assumption of a peculiar external form, or the internal
structure of a crystal,) “stands naked and
alone, and this in an eminent manner, or in the
highest degree of its power.” No doubt, such instances
as these are highly instructive; but the
difficulty in physics is to find such, not to perceive
their force when found.
(193.) The contrary of glaring are “clandestine
instances,” where “the nature sought is exhibited
in its weakest and most imperfect state.” Of
this, Bacon himself has given an admirable example
in the cohesion of fluids, as a clandestine
instance of the “nature or quality of consistence,
or solidity.” Yet here, again, the same acute discrimination
which enabled Bacon to perceive the analogy
which connects fluids with solids, through the
common property of cohesive attraction, would, at
the same time, have enabled him to draw from it,
if properly supported, every consequence necessary
to forming just notions of the cohesive force; nor
does its reference to the class of clandestine instances
at all assist in bringing forward and maturing
the final results. When, however, the final
result is obtained,—when our induction is complete,
and we would verify it,—this class of instances is of
great use, being, in fact, frequently no other than
that of extreme cases, such as we have already spoken
of (in § 177.); which, by placing our conclusions, as
it were, in violent circumstances, try their temper,
and bring their vigour to the test.
(194.) Bacon’s “collective instances” (instantiæ
unionis), are no other than general facts, or laws of
some degree of generality, and are themselves the
results of induction. But there is a species of collective
instance which Bacon does not seem to have
contemplated, of a peculiarly instructive character;
and that is, where particular cases are offered to our
observation in such numbers at once as to make the
induction of their law a matter of ocular inspection.
For example, the parabolic form assumed by a jet of
water spouted from a round hole, is a collective instance
of the velocities and directions of the motions
of all the particles which compose it seen at once,
and which thus leads us, without trouble, to recognize
the law of the motion of a projectile. Again,
the beautiful figures exhibited by sand strewed on
regular plates of glass or metal set in vibration,
are collective instances of an infinite number of points
which remain at rest while the remainder of the
plate vibrates; and in consequence afford us, as it
were, a sight of the law which regulates their arrangement
and sequence throughout the whole
surface. The beautifully coloured lemniscates seen
around the optic axes of crystals exposed to polarized
light afford a superb example of the same
kind, pointing at once to the general mathematical
expression of the law which regulates their production.46
Of such collective instances as these, it
is easy to see the importance, and its reason. They
lead us to a general law by an induction which
offers itself spontaneously, and thus furnish advanced
points in our enquiries; and when we start
from these, already “a thousand steps are lost.”
(195.) A fine example of a collective instance is
that of the system of Jupiter or Saturn with its
satellites. We have here, in miniature, and seen
at one view, a system similar to that of the planets
about the sun; of which, from the circumstance of
our being involved in it, and unfavourably situated
for seeing it otherwise than in detail, we are incapacitated
from forming a general idea but by
slow progressive efforts of reason. Accordingly, the
contemplation of the circumjovial planets (as they
were called) most materially assisted in securing
the admission of the Copernican system.
(196.) Of “Crucial instances” we have also already
spoken, as affording the readiest and securest
means of eliminating extraneous causes, and deciding
between rival hypotheses. Owing to the disposition
of the mind to form hypotheses, and to
prejudge cases, it constantly happens that, among
all the possible suppositions which may occur, two
or three principal ones occupy us, to the exclusion
of the rest; or it may be that, if we have been less
precipitate, out of a great multitude rejected for
obvious inapplicability to some one or other case,
two or three of better claims remain for decision;
and this such instances enable us to do. One of
the instances cited by Bacon in illustration of his
crucial class is very remarkable, being neither more
nor less than the proposal of a direct experiment to
determine whether the tendency of heavy bodies
downwards is a result of some peculiar mechanism
in themselves, or of the attraction of the earth “by
the corporeal mass thereof, as by a collection of
bodies of the same nature.” If it be so, he says,
“it will follow that the nearer all bodies approach
to the earth, the stronger and with the greater
force and velocity they will tend to it; but the
farther they are, the weaker and slower:” and his
experiment consists in comparing the effect of a
spring and a weight in keeping up the motions of
two “clocks,” regulated together, and removed alternately
to the tops of high buildings and into the
deepest mines. By clocks he could not have meant
pendulum clocks, which were not then known, (the
first made in England was in 1662,) fly-clocks,
so that the comparison, though too coarse, was not
contrary to sound mechanical principles. In short,
its principle was the comparison of the effect of a
spring with that of a weight, in producing certain
motions in certain times, on heights and in mines.
Now, this is the very same thing that has really been
done in the recent experiments of professors Airy
and Whewell in Dolcoath mine: a pendulum (a
weight moved by gravity) has been compared with
a chronometer balance, moved and regulated by a
spring. In his 37th aphorism, Bacon also speaks of
gravity as an incorporeal power, acting at a distance,
and requiring time for its transmission; a consideration
which occurred at a later period to Laplace,
in one of his most delicate investigations.
(197.) A well chosen and strongly marked crucial
instance is, sometimes, of the highest importance;
when two theories, which run parallel to each
other (as is sometimes the case) in their explanation
of great classes of phenomena, at length
come to be placed at issue upon a single fact. A
beautiful instance of this will be cited in the next
section. We may add to the examples above given
of such instances, that of the application of chemical
tests, which are almost universally crucial experiments.
(198.) Bacon’s “travelling instances” are those
in which the nature or quality under investigation
“travels,” or varies in degree; and thus (according
to § 152.) afford an indication of a cause by
a gradation of intensity in the effect. One of his
instances is very happy, being that of “paper,
which is white when dry, but proves less so when
wet, and comes nearer to the state of transparency
upon the exclusion of the air, and admission of
water.” In reading this, and many other instances
in the Novum Organum, one would almost suppose
(had it been written) that its author had taken
them from Newton’s Optics.
(199.) The travelling instances, as well as what
Bacon terms “frontier instances,” are cases in which
we are enabled to trace that general law which
seems to pervade all nature—the law, as it is
termed, of continuity, and which is expressed in the
well known sentence, “Natura non agit per saltum.”
The pursuit of this law into cases where its
application is not at first sight obvious, has proved
a fertile source of physical discovery, and led us to
the knowledge of an analogy and intimate connection
of phenomena between which at first we should
never have expected to find any.
(200.) For example, the transparency of gold leaf,
which permits a bluish-green light to pass through
it, is a frontier instance between the transparency
of pellucid bodies and the opacity of metals, and it
prevents a breach of the law of continuity between
transparent and opake bodies, by exhibiting a body
of the class generally regarded the most opake in
nature, as still possessed of some slight degree of
transparency. It thus proves that the quality of
opacity is not a contrary or antagonist quality to
that of transparency, but only its extreme lowest
degree.